Are Park City Zestimates Accurate
Zestimates are the estimate of a home’s value on the website Zillow.com. They are sometimes used by real estate clients to discuss the list price or initial offer on a home. A couple of weeks ago, a client called and told me the Zestimate of her home was $1.2 million. Was it time to sell? My estimate of the market value was closer to $900,000. This got me thinking about Zestimates and segued nicely into this week’s blog post.

How Accurate are Zestimates in the Park City Market?

To answer this question, I decided to do a small case study. I chose 6 single family homes that closed within the last 7 days. The closed price is the market value because that is what a buyer actually paid for the home. Each home I chose for my study is in a different Park City neighborhood. I compared the list price, sold price and Zestimate.

The Comparison

Old Town Neighborhood
List price: $2,195,000
Sold price: $2,110,000
Zestimate Accuracy: 41.3%

505 Park Ave Zestimate

 

 

 

Bear Hollow Neighborhood
List price:  $565,000
Sold price:  $560,000
Zestimate Accuracy: 98.7%

5652 N Kodiak Way Zestimate

 

 

 

Willow Creek Estates Neighborhood
List price: $3,495,000
Sold price:  $3,250,000
Zestimate Accuracy: 120%

1100 Old Rail Lane Zestimate

 

 

 

Summit Park Neighborhood
List price:  $599,000
Sold price:  $600,000
Zestimate Accuracy: 100%

470 Parkview Drive Zestimate

 

 

 

Jeremy Ranch Neighborhood
List price:  $715,000
Sold price:  $715,000
Zestimate Accuracy: 94.8%

3078 Creek Road Zestimate

 

 

 

Promontory Neighborhood
List price:  $2,695,000
Sold price:  $2,510,000
Zestimate Accuracy: 104%

8414 N Sunrise Loop Zestimate

 

 

 

Conclusion

In one case, the Zestimate was close to 100% accuracy of market value. In another case it was off by more than 40%. Even a 4% margin of error on the Promontory listing equates to a difference of over $100,000. To me, that’s not acceptable.

Furthermore, since Utah is a non-disclosure state (meaning sold prices are not accessible to the public), I do not know how Zillow obtains the data to figure out its “Zestimates”.

My conclusion is that property valuations are best left in the hands of real estate professionals. Park City real estate agents have access to the relevant data and the market knowledge to assess the qualities that go into a valuation, including floor plan, finishes, and condition.

Most people know that a real estate agent functions as an intermediary and sales person to facilitate the exchange of real property between buyers and sellers. Real estate agents have a fiduciary responsibility to the party who they represent. But, not all real estate agents are REALTORS®. Only members of the National Association Of REALTORS® (NAR) are REALTORS®.

Park City Realtors
From left to right: Marcie Davis, 2014 President; Deb Hartley, 2014 Secretary; Tami Whisker, Past President; Marc Coulam, Past Board Member; Nancy Tallman, 2014 President-elect; Suzanne Sheridan, 2014 Treasurer

NAR: The Parent Organization

Founded in 1908, NAR has 720,000 members and is the world’s largest professional organization. Each member belongs to at least one local and state association. The Utah Association of REALTORS® is our state association and the Park City Board of REALTORS® is our local association.

As the “voice for real estate”, the NAR and its state and local member organizations work with government and the public for the purpose of preserving the free enterprise system and the right to own real property. Think about how this affects all of us. For example, any time legislators want to cut the mortgage interest deduction, NAR uses its influence to defeat such legislation.

How The Park City Board of REALTORS® Serves the Public

The Park City Board of REALTORS® (PCBR) was formed in 1980 and has almost 900 members. The Park City Board of REALTORS® serves the public in many ways:

  1. We champion private property rights and home ownership.
  2. We ensure local REALTORS® are educated and adhere to the NAR code of ethics. PCBR enforces the NAR Code of Ethics and Standards of Practice. In addition, the PCBR provides professional development, awards of recognition for its members, collects market statistics and improves the standard forms Park City REALTORS® use in their transactions.
  3. We manage the Park City MLS Multiple Listing Service and collect and distribute sales data to the public. This service allows brokers and agent members to post their listings electronically and to offer cooperative payments to one another. This means that as a Park City MLS member, I can show any other agent’s listings and know that we automatically have a cooperative commission sharing agreement. A more recent development is our ability to syndicate (share) our listings with public real estate websites, such as Zillow, Trulia, realtor.com, Yahoo, etc.
  4. Luxury Home Tour 2014We are also stewards of our local community, raising and distributing money for local charitable organizations. Our Philanthropic Foundation is very active. We have raised hundreds of thousands of dollars for community organizations through fundraisers like the Luxury Home Tour and the Turkey Drive.

I am currently the President-elect of the Park City Board of REALTORS®.  In January, I’ll become its President. It’s an honor and privilege representing Park City’s REALTORS®.